I think the US will get there without Federal support. We need to cut back from (6000 mt) 2005 levels by 26-28%.
California is all in, and if the Blue east coast states follow suit to opt to converting to green energy we're well on the way. At the current 5 yr rate of green adoption (5%->9.5%) I would expect green to account for 15-17% by 2025.
![[Image: blog_co2_emissions_1990_2016.gif]](http://www.motherjones.com/files/blog_co2_emissions_1990_2016.gif)
The goal is to get under 4300 mt by 2025.
The war on coal is a false narrative that oversimplifies what is happening in the energy economy. In blaming environmental regulations under the Obama administration as the sole reason for the recent turmoil in the coal industry, Trump and Pruitt are ignoring the fundamental market realities that are buffeting the industry. NG is cheaper, better on equipment and leaves no ash to deal with and risk ground (water) contamination.
![[Image: US_Gen_GenShare.PNG]](https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/update/archive/april2017/images/US_Gen_GenShare.PNG)
If you project the trends forward, the Trump effect will be small.
Clean Power Plan implementation choices by states could affect electricity generation mix
U.S. energy consumption rose slightly in 2016 despite a significant decline in coal use
California is all in, and if the Blue east coast states follow suit to opt to converting to green energy we're well on the way. At the current 5 yr rate of green adoption (5%->9.5%) I would expect green to account for 15-17% by 2025.
The goal is to get under 4300 mt by 2025.
The war on coal is a false narrative that oversimplifies what is happening in the energy economy. In blaming environmental regulations under the Obama administration as the sole reason for the recent turmoil in the coal industry, Trump and Pruitt are ignoring the fundamental market realities that are buffeting the industry. NG is cheaper, better on equipment and leaves no ash to deal with and risk ground (water) contamination.
If you project the trends forward, the Trump effect will be small.
Clean Power Plan implementation choices by states could affect electricity generation mix
U.S. energy consumption rose slightly in 2016 despite a significant decline in coal use
”There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, Than are dreamt of in your philosophy." - Hamlet (1.5.167-8), Hamlet to Horatio.
![[Image: yVR5oE.png]](http://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/329/yVR5oE.png)
![[Image: VKQ0KLG.png]](http://i.imgur.com/VKQ0KLG.png)